Working Papers

Working Paper 137
Transmission of Business Cycle Shocks between Unequal Neighbours: Germany and Austria

Gerhard Fenz, Martin Schneider

May 14, 2007

 

The opinions are strictly those of the authors and in no way commit the OeNB.


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This paper analyses the comovement of the German and Austrian economies and the transmission of German shocks to Austria. Static and dynamic correlation measures show a strong comovement and a change of the relative position in time of these two economies. The transmission of German shocks to Austria is analysed with a twocountry VAR model. Using sign restrictions on impulse response functions, the authors identify German supply, demand and monetary policy shocks. They find that the average reaction of the Austrian economy to German shocks amounts to 44% of the German reaction and remains broadly stable over time.



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