Working Papers

Working Paper 104
AQM – The Austrian Quarterly Model of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank

Gerhard Fenz and Martin Spitzer

September 2005 

 

The opinions are strictly those of the authors and in no way commit the OeNB.


Editorial

This paper gives a detailed description of the Austrian Quarterly Model (AQM). The modelling strategy of the AQM is in the tradition of the “neoclassical synthesis”, a combination of Keynesian short-run analysis and neoclassical long-run analysis. The short run dynamics are based on empirical evidence, the long run relationships are derived from a neoclassical optimization framework. Adjustment processes to the real equilibrium are sluggish. Imperfections on goods and labour markets typically prevent the economy to adjust instantaneously to the long run equilibrium. In the current version of the AQM the formation of expectations is strictly backward looking. The relatively small scale of the model keeps the structure simple enough for projection and simulation purposes while incorporating a sufficiently detailed structure to capture the main characteristics of the Austrian economy. The main behavioural equations are estimated using the two-step Engle-Granger-technique. The AQM constitutes the Austrian block of the ESCB multi-country model (MCM).



Download

Overview

More about this page

Ordering this Publication