Tomas Slacik



  • long- and short-term forecasting
  • early warning indicators for crises and financial (in)stability
  • exchange rate regimes and their macroeconomic implications
  • inflationary impact of euro adoption

Ausgewählte Publikationen

Jakubík, P., Slačík, T. (2013). Measuring Financial (In)stability in Emerging Europe: A New Index-based Approach.  Financial Stability Report 25, OeNB,102–117.

Crespo-Cuaresma, J., Slačík, T. (2010). An “Almost-Too-Late” Early Warning Indicator for Currency Crises. Economics of Transition 18(1), 123–141.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Geršl, A., Slačík, T. (2010). Could Markets Have Helped Predict the Puzzling Exchange Rate Path in CESEE Countries during the Current Crisis? Focus on European Economic Integration Q1/10, OeNB, 32–48.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Feldkircher, M. Slačík, T. Wörz, J. (2009). Simple but Effective: The OeNB’s Forecast Model for Selected CESEE Countries. Focus on European Economic Integration Q4/09, OeNB, 84–95.

Mehrotra, A., Slačík, T. (2009). Evaluating Inflation Determinants with a Money Supply Rule in Four Central and Eastern European EU Member States. Focus on European Economic Integration Q3/09, OeNB, 6–21.

Slačík, T. (2009). Exchange Rate Regime-Related Risks in Transition Countries. Südwestdeutscher Verlag für Hochschulschriften, January.

Crespo-Cuaresma, J., Slačík, T. (2009). On the Determinants of Currency Crises: The Role of Model Uncertainty. Journal of Macroeconomics 31(4), 621–632.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Slačík, T. (2008). Determinants of Currency Crises: A Conflict of Generations? Focus on European Economic Integration 1/08, OeNB, 126–141.

Slačík, T. (2008). (How) Will the Euro Affect Inflation in the Czech Republic? A Contribution to the Current Debate, FIW Working paper No. 18, 2008

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Slačík, T. (2007). Predicting Currency Crises Using the Term Structure of Relative Interest Rates: Case Studies of the Czech Republic and Russia. Focus on European Economic Integration 1/07, OeNB, 135-149.