Tomas Slacík


Research interests

  • long- and short-term forecasting
  • early warning indicators for crises and financial (in)stability
  • exchange rate regimes and their macroeconomic implications
  • inflationary impact of euro adoption

Selected publications

Jakubík, P., Slacík, T. (2013). Measuring Financial (In)stability in Emerging Europe: A New Index-based Approach.  Financial Stability Report 25, OeNB,102–117.

Crespo-Cuaresma, J., Slacík, T. (2010). An “Almost-Too-Late” Early Warning Indicator for Currency Crises. Economics of Transition 18(1), 123–141.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Geršl, A., Slacík, T. (2010). Could Markets Have Helped Predict the Puzzling Exchange Rate Path in CESEE Countries during the Current Crisis? Focus on European Economic Integration Q1/10, OeNB, 32–48.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Feldkircher, M. Slacík, T. Wörz, J. (2009). Simple but Effective: The OeNB’s Forecast Model for Selected CESEE Countries. Focus on European Economic Integration Q4/09, OeNB, 84–95.

Mehrotra, A., Slacík, T. (2009). Evaluating Inflation Determinants with a Money Supply Rule in Four Central and Eastern European EU Member States. Focus on European Economic Integration Q3/09, OeNB, 6–21.

Slacík, T. (2009). Exchange Rate Regime-Related Risks in Transition Countries. Südwestdeutscher Verlag für Hochschulschriften, January.

Crespo-Cuaresma, J., Slacík, T. (2009). On the Determinants of Currency Crises: The Role of Model Uncertainty. Journal of Macroeconomics 31(4), 621–632.

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Slacík, T. (2008). Determinants of Currency Crises: A Conflict of Generations? Focus on European Economic Integration 1/08, OeNB, 126–141.

Slacík, T. (2008). (How) Will the Euro Affect Inflation in the Czech Republic? A Contribution to the Current Debate, FIW Working paper No. 18, 2008

Crespo Cuaresma, J., Slacík, T. (2007). Predicting Currency Crises Using the Term Structure of Relative Interest Rates: Case Studies of the Czech Republic and Russia. Focus on European Economic Integration 1/07, OeNB, 135-149.