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Forecast of key economic indicators - international forecasters
June 2020
April 2020
European Commission
May/July 2020
 single-hit scenariodouble-hit scenarioforecastforecast
Key Results
Annual change in %        
Real GDP1-6.24.0-7.53.2-7.04.5-7.15.6
Real private consumption-6.14.4-7.43.7xx-4.84.9
Real government consumption2.
Real gross fixed capital formation-7.05.8-8.03.8xx-9.56.9
Real exports-8.79.4-11.99.7xx-12.510.3
Real imports-9.09.9-11.510.2xx-10.89.0
Labour productivityxxxxxx-4.23.6
GDP deflator0.
Unit labor costsxxxxxx5.1-2.3
Payroll employmentxxxxxx-1.41.4
% of labour force        
Unemployment rate5.
% of nominal GDP        
Current account2.
General government surplus/deficit-7.3-3.2-9.8-5.5-7.1-1.6-6.1-1.9
Conditioning assumptions        
Oil price in USD/barrel130.
Short-term interest rate in %-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.4

last update on 03.08.2020 15:46

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