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Forecast of key economic indicators - international forecasters
 
 OECD
June 2020
IMF
April 2020
European Commission
May/July 2020
 single-hit scenariodouble-hit scenarioforecastforecast
 20202021202020212020202120202021
 
Key Results
        
Annual change in %        
Real GDP1-6.24.0-7.53.2-7.04.5-7.15.6
Real private consumption-6.14.4-7.43.7xx-4.84.9
Real government consumption2.01.02.21.4xx3.00.1
Real gross fixed capital formation-7.05.8-8.03.8xx-9.56.9
Real exports-8.79.4-11.99.7xx-12.510.3
Real imports-9.09.9-11.510.2xx-10.89.0
Labour productivityxxxxxx-4.23.6
                 
                 
                 
GDP deflator0.50.80.60.8xx1.21.1
HICP10.81.30.81.10.41.70.81.2
Unit labor costsxxxxxx5.1-2.3
                 
                 
                 
Payroll employmentxxxxxx-1.41.4
                 
                 
                 
% of labour force        
Unemployment rate5.85.26.05.75.55.05.84.9
                 
                 
                 
% of nominal GDP        
Current account2.62.22.21.91.92.00.91.6
General government surplus/deficit-7.3-3.2-9.8-5.5-7.1-1.6-6.1-1.9
                 
                 
                 
Conditioning assumptions        
Oil price in USD/barrel130.033.030.030.035.637.942.043.0
Short-term interest rate in %-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.4
USD/EUR1.081.081.081.081.121.131.091.09
 


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last update on 03.08.2020 15:46

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